Author Topic: Swine Influenza Outbreak  (Read 16987 times)

Dermathil

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Swine Influenza Outbreak
« on: April 27, 2009, 10:36:58 pm »
Those who watched the news since last Thursday know what I'm talking about. There is an outbreak of Swine influenza in Mexico. This Swine influenza is a relatively new strain of H1N1, and, unlike Avian Influenza, is capable of transmitting by Human-to-Human contact. This influenza is feared by the global community, as it could probably change into an influenza pandemic. A variant of the H1N1 strain caused the Spanish flu in 1918-1919, and that killed between 50 to 100 millions people worldwide.

For more information on the subject, the article on the subject at the World Health Organisation website can be visited here: http://www.who.int/csr/disease/swineflu/en/

Since this is an ongoing event, I will try to keep this thread up to date. If I forget something, let me know.

--==Worldwide numbers about the Outbreak==--

More data will be added as more updates will  be shared.
« Last Edit: April 28, 2009, 05:13:34 am by Dermathil »

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Mathy Stockington

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2009, 10:54:14 pm »
It is utmost important we keep up with current events as far as I am concerned therefore I thank you for posting this Dermathil.

Here are some links to give us more information on this topic:

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=103506962

http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/news/2009/04/090427_swine_flu_mexico_wt_dm.shtml
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zanzibar

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2009, 01:04:10 am »
All the deaths so far have been in Mexico.  From what I read, those individuals died because they didn't seek medical attention in time.

From what I've read, it doesn't seem to affect everyone equally -- many people report only minor symptoms.  This suggests that the number of infected individuals is far greater than reported if many people aren't reporting their symptoms since they aren't severe.  That would in turn mean that the flu is far less fatal than current statistics suggest.
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Dermathil

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2009, 02:44:58 am »
Update: 7 new cases of Swine flu have been confirmed.

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Pizik

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2009, 03:06:18 am »
From my little corner of the world, The UK has just confirmed 2 cases in Scotland. The second set of cases confirmed in the EU after Spain confirmed a report earlier in the day.
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Illysia

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2009, 03:40:14 am »
Be sure to stock up early on necessary daily supplies as you never know when your city could be locked down and everything like stores shut down. Get food, water, and toiletries.

Dermathil

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2009, 04:58:23 am »
Be sure to stock up early on necessary daily supplies as you never know when your city could be locked down and everything like stores shut down. Get food, water, and toiletries.

Luckily, no cases of swine flu has been confirmed in the province I live in yet. So, my family don't need to 'til a case is confirmed.

I will also post updates on the progression of the Swine Influenza, which will be solely based off WHO (World Health Organisation)'s EPR (Epidemic and Pandemic alert and Response)'s website, starting with today's article.


P.S: After a good advisement on IRC, I've decided to use BBC.co.uk to get the most recent informations.


--==BBC|Swine Influenza Outbreak==--

WHO flu expert Dr Keiji Fukuda: "Containment is not a feasible operation"

The World Health Organization (WHO) has raised its alert level over swine flu from three to four - two steps short of declaring a full pandemic.

WHO Assistant Director General Dr Keiji Fukuda said it signalled a "significant step towards pandemic influenza", but added "we are not there yet".

Mexico earlier said it believed 149 people had now died from the swine flu outbreak - only 20 cases are confirmed.

Other, milder, cases are confirmed in the US, Canada, Spain and Britain.

The WHO's decision to raise the alert level to four came after an emergency meeting of experts, brought forward by a day because of concerns over the outbreak.
------------------------------------------------   
WHO PANDEMIC ALERT PHASES
Phase 1: No viruses circulating among animals causing infections in humans
Phase 2: Animal influenza virus causes infection in humans, and is considered potential pandemic threat
Phase 3: Influenza causes sporadic cases in people, but no significant human-to-human transmission
Phase 4: Verified human-to-human transmission able to cause community-level outbreaks. Significant increase in risk of a pandemic
Phase 5: Human-to-human transmission in at least two countries. Strong signal pandemic imminent
Phase 6: Virus spreads to another country in a different region. Global pandemic under way

------------------------------------------------
Level four means the virus is showing a sustained ability to pass from human to human, and is able to cause community-level outbreaks.

"What this can really be interpreted as is a significant step towards pandemic influenza. But also, it is a phase that says we are not there yet," Mr Fukuda said.

"In other words, at this time we think we have taken a step in that direction, but a pandemic is not considered inevitable."

He said the virus had become too widespread to make containment a feasible option, and said countries must focus on trying to put measures in place to protect the population.

He also stressed that the experts did not recommend closing borders or restricting travel. "With the virus being widespread... closing borders or restricting travel really has very little effects in stopping the movement of this virus," he said.

The first batches of a swine flu vaccine could be ready between four to six months, but it will take several more months to produce large quantities of it, Mr Fukuda said.

Health experts say the virus comes from the same strain that causes seasonal outbreaks in humans. But they say this newly-detected version contains genetic material from versions of flu which usually affect pigs and birds.

Mexico deaths


Earlier, Mexico's Health Minister Jose Angel Cordova said the suspected death toll from swine flu had now risen from just over 100 to 149. Of that number, 20 have been confirmed as swine flu.

All of those who had died were aged between 20 and 50, he said. Infections among young healthy adults was a characteristic of past pandemics.

"We're in the decisive moment of the crisis, the number [of deaths] will continue rising," Mr Codova told a news conference.

He said the first suspected case of swine flu occurred in the southern state of Oaxaca.

He said nearly 2,000 people had been hospitalised since the first case of swine flu was reported on 13 April, but half had now been allowed home.

Schools nationwide are to remain closed until 6 May as the country attempts to grapple with the outbreak.

As Mr Cordova spoke, Mexico City - where the outbreak is centred - was rocked by a 5.6-magnitude earthquake. It shook tall buildings and led to evacuations, but there have been no reports of damage or injuries.
------------------------------------------------   
SWINE FLU
Swine flu is a respiratory disease thought to spread through coughing and sneezing
Symptoms mimic those of normal flu
Good hygiene like using a tissue and washing hands thoroughly can help reduce transmission

------------------------------------------------
In almost all swine flu cases outside Mexico, people have been only mildly ill and have made a full recovery.

In the US, a further 20 cases of swine flu were confirmed in New York. Cases have also been reported in Ohio, Kansas, Texas and California, bringing the total across the country to more than 40.

It is thought that only person in the US had been hospitalised as a result of contracting the virus, and all had recovered.

Dr Richard Besser, acting director of the US Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), has warned that a new US travel advisory is being prepared suggesting "non-essential travel to Mexico be avoided".

Earlier, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and EU Health Commissioner Androulla Vassiliou separately urged caution for those considering travelling to Mexico.

In Canada, six cases have been recorded at opposite ends of the country, in British Columbia and in Nova Scotia.
------------------------------------------------
SPREAD OF VIRUS
Mexico: 20 confirmed cases (Mexico puts suspected deaths at 149)
United States: 40 confirmed cases
Canada: 6 confirmed cases
Spain: 1 confirmed case
UK: 2 confirmed cases
Israel, Brazil, Guatemala, Peru, Australia, New Zealand, and South Korea: Suspected cases being tested

------------------------------------------------
Swine flu officially arrived in Europe on Monday, when tests confirmed that a young man in Spain and two people in Scotland - all of whom had recently returned from Mexico - had the virus. They were said to be recovering well.

Tests are also being carried out on individuals or groups in New Zealand, Australia, Brazil, Israel and South Korea who fell ill following travel to Mexico.

A number of countries in Asia, Latin America and Europe have begun screening airport passengers for symptoms, while Germany's biggest tour operator has suspended trips to Mexico.

Several countries have banned imports of raw pork and pork products from Mexico and parts of the US, although experts say there is no evidence to link exposure to pork with infection.

Shares in airlines have fallen sharply on fears about the economic impact of the outbreak.
« Last Edit: April 28, 2009, 05:39:03 am by Dermathil »

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hitancrias

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2009, 09:01:06 am »
Be sure to stock up early on necessary daily supplies as you never know when your city could be locked down and everything like stores shut down. Get food, water, and toiletries.

Even if the outbreak reaches pandemic proportions, they won't lock down entire cities, because it won't help. They might close schools, airports and stadiums, but vital parts of the economy like power plants, water utilities and supermarkets will keep running, no matter what. I don't think stocking up is necessary. If you want to do something, you can wash your hands more often; flu is most often transmitted via the hands (hand shakes, arm rails, door knobs, etc.). If you live outside Mexico, I wouldn't worry too much about it at this moment though.
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zanzibar

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2009, 09:42:57 am »
Be sure to stock up early on necessary daily supplies as you never know when your city could be locked down and everything like stores shut down. Get food, water, and toiletries.
This is very unlikely to happen.
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Anumesa

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2009, 10:11:38 am »
Blah...i already had the flu once this year. How annoying.

Waterman

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #10 on: April 29, 2009, 05:24:07 am »
Seriously?  I expected better from you guys.  Guess I'll never learn.
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Prolix

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #11 on: April 29, 2009, 05:55:25 pm »
At all costs, do not forget to panic!
*Oink!* There goes one now! Kill it!

If they didn't want it getting around perhaps they shouldn't have dug up those Scandinavians that died from it just to take samples.
Sounds to me though that it has a good chance of occurring naturally the way flu bugs can mix/match genes.

If you do not exercise your immune system daily it will lose its capacity to protect you.

Mathy Stockington

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #12 on: April 29, 2009, 07:12:04 pm »
We all know that the news exaggerates things at times therefore a disaster might not be as bad as it is reported. Unfortunately it is where we get our information. So if the average person wishes to listen believing half of what they hear I can understand that.

In this case though we need to be informed of this situation. So maybe the numbers who are affected now are not so large now but we do not know what will happen. This is not a situation to make fun of but rather one to follow and pay close attention to. My reply is not to start a feud but rather to point out that this is a serous situation that needs to be followed because it could affect all of us. 


If you want to do something, you can wash your hands more often; flu is most often transmitted via the hands (hand shakes, arm rails, door knobs, etc.).

very good advise.
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Dermathil

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #13 on: April 30, 2009, 01:18:09 am »
Hi all. I won't be able to connect to internet often 'til june 20th, so I'd like someone to post the news related to the Swine Flu Outbreak.
Two points that needs to be mentioned:
  • A baby died due to the Swine Flu on non-mexican soil.
  • Due to this, the WHO has put the Swine Flu on Phase 5. (Phase 5: Human-to-human transmission in at least two countries. Strong signal pandemic imminent
    Phase 6: Virus spreads to another country in a different region. Global pandemic under way.)


Have a good day!

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Waterman

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Re: Swine Influenza Outbreak
« Reply #14 on: April 30, 2009, 05:27:32 pm »
  • A baby FROM MEXICO died due to the Swine Flu on non-mexican soil.



If you're going to be "reporting" be sure and give all the facts.  And nowhere do I see you mentioning that by some counts there have only been EIGHT deaths including the baby.  Ridiculous.
« Last Edit: April 30, 2009, 05:30:25 pm by Waterman »
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