Originally posted by Sangwa
In economy one does not assume to know the future. Else, if something goes wrong, one loses much.
That would be called taking a risk, which as a matter of fact, is an important part of management. If you take a risk, success means gaining more than if you didn\'t take it. Now whether risk will turn out to be success or failure depends on the ability of planning and predicting customers\' behaviour. That\'s why researches are being launched and models like Spider\'s Web one (which by the way is all about using past to predict the future) created.
If you are good - you gain. Bad - you lose. Or you can decide to stay away from risking, but without risk you aren\'t likely to become better than others.
War is example of such risk. You are doing research on how strong enemy\'s forces are and look into the past to know how enemy does in battles. Then you make a decission - declare war or not. Depending on whether you predict to win or lose.
Woo..! Economics studies prove to be useful \\o/ :P
And I believe as long as I can well describe flaws in someone\'s leadership, I am in position to criticize it. Or do you see any reason that isn\'t a logical fallacy, why it isn\'t so..?
Don\'t think I need to discuss it any further. I explained where my assumptions about Seperot\'s move come from quite well. Now you are free to disagree with them, but laughing it out is just lame.